Tata Metaliks – Short Term Buy

Citigroup Technical Research has put a short term BUY recommendation on Tata Metalik with a target price of Rs 164. CMP Rs 147.

Tata Metalik has seen a bullish breakout from a “Triangle” pattern. Construction of triangle is T#1 Upper Boundary and T#2 Lower Boundary. Prices have closed above the breakout level (T#1) at 136; breakout was supported with rise in volume

The minimum price objective has been calculated using the “maximum depth” technique. Maximum depth within the triangle is distance between # 152 (P1) and # 124 (P2), 152-124=28. Adding 28 to the breakout level at 136 gives us a minimum price objective of 164 [28+136].

Short-term Buy (1B) with target price of 164 and stop loss price of 134 (on a daily closing basis)

Maruti Udyog + JSW Steel Strong Sales

Maruti Udyog said it sold 65,958 vehicles in August 2007, up 27% from 51,855 vehicles sold in the same month last year. The company sold 60,229 units in the domestic market, up 25% percent from 48,259 units a year earlier. Maruti’s exported 5,739 units, up from 3,596 units last year.

Maruti Udyog’s net profit rose 35.2% to Rs 499.60 crore on an 25.8% rise in sales to Rs 3930.82 crore in Q1 June 2007 over Q1 June 2006

JSW Steel announced that the company has posted the highest ever crude steel production with 32% growth in August 2007. The company has created a new milestone with the highest production record in the month in all product categories except galvanized product.

The company has also shown 21% growth in volumes sequentially in crude steel, 11% growth in hot rolled (HR) Coils and 19% growth in HR plate products in August 2007 over July 2007.

JSW’s net profit rose 151.2% to Rs 427.78 crore on a 37.2% increase in sales to Rs 2190.72 in Q1 June 2007 over Q1 June 2006.

Bajaj Auto August sales volume down 6%

Bajaj Auto, the country’s second largest two wheeler manufacturer reported 6% fall in overall sales volume for the month of Aug ’07 to 195707 vehicles. The sales volume of two wheelers consisting of motorcycles and scooters declined by 6% yoy to 170203 vehicles with sales of motorcycles was down by 7% yoy at 167483 vehicles. Product fatigue in 100 CC motorcycle segment continue to plague the overall motorcycle volumes of the company. The sales of three-wheeler for the month was 25504 vehicles, down by 2% yoy. However on the positive side the exports volume was up by sharp 75% to 56452 vehicles for the month August’07.

National launch of its new 125 CC DTS-SI motorcycle is scheduled in Sep ’07. The company have commenced production of this new 125 cc DTS-Si motorcycle at its Waluj (Aurangabad) plant and targets a sales of 20,000 units in September 2007. And by November ’07 the company expects to notch volume of 50000 units. The new bike volume is expected to power the monthly sales volume figures of motorcycles on year on year growth commencing Nov’07. With launch of this new model the company expects almost 75% of its motorcycle portfolio would be in the more profitable 125 cc – 250 cc segment

Buy Areva T&D – Prabudas Lilladher

Prabhudas Lilladher [PL] initiate coverage on Areva T&D with “Outperformer” rating and a target price of Rs 1855 (30x CY08 earnings), implying a 17% upside potential.

Areva T&D is the third largest transmission and distribution player globally with a significant presence in the Indian T&D space. Areva currently has an order book of Rs 24.2bn, 1.8x its CY06 sales, providing visibility of earnings for next few years. The company has won the first ever 765 kV substation order from NTPC, being the only fully integrated 765kV substation supplier in the country.

For the period FY07 to FY09, PL expect CAGR of 57.7% in net profit on the back of revenue CAGR of 24.7%. At the CMP of Rs 1,590, the stock is available at 36.8x and 25.7x CY07E and CY08E earnings of Rs 43.1 and Rs 61.8 respectively. Areva enjoys attractive return ratios with RoE at 46.1% and RoCE at 47.5%. PL initiates coverage on Areva T&D with an “Outperformer” rating and a target price of Rs 1855 (30x CY08 earnings), implying an upside of 17% from current levels.

Vipul + Ahluwalia Contracts India Stock Split

The members of Ahluwalia Contracts India has passed resolution that the existing equity shares of the face value of Rs 10 each in the share capital of the company be sub-divided such that each equity share of the face value of Rs 10 each is sub-divided into face value of Rs 2 each and consequently, the authorised share capital of the company be divided into 10,00,00,000 equity shares of Rs 2 each and present issued, subscribed and paid up share capital of the company be divided into 6,27,62,560 equity shares of face value Rs 2.

That pursuant to the sub-division of the equity shares of the company, the issued, subscribed and paid up equity shares of face value Rs 10 each shall stand sub-divided into equity shares of face value Rs 2 each fully paid up.

The board of Vipul has considered and approved the sub-division / split of existing equity share of the company from 1 equity share of Rs 10 into 5 equity shares of Rs 2 each, subject to approval of the shareholders at the ensuing annual general meeting.

Further, the board has approved the scheme of amalgamation/merger of Metex Finance, Pushpendra Investments, DN Sons Agro, Landmark Suit, Meadows Golf Villas and PCMJ Buildcom wholly owned subsidiaries with the company.

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