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Real Estate / SEZ in India / 99acres - weak billings - operation metrics
« Last post by resh on September 09, 2020, 02:15:58 PM »
99Acres.Com Revenues declined by 24.7% yoy due to weak buy and sell activity in 1QFY21. Billings declined by a sharp 71% yoy, and this is indicative of continued weak real estate activity.

Brokers now contribute 56% to revenues (rest from builders and home owners).

Real estate has been already slowing down for the past few years and was severely hit by the long period of lockdown. Billings had declined 90% in April, 85% in May and 52% in June.

Rentals are still down compared to last year but form only a small part of overall business.

Total listings have recovered to pre-Covid levels. Dealers and developers are slowly coming back to the platform but have not reached back to previous-year levels.

Traffic recovered to 85% in June. Buyer traffic in August was up 11% from pre-Covid levels and 3% yoy. Buyer enquiries were up 65% yoy.
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IPOs and Rights Issues / Re: HAPPIEST MINDS TECHNOLOGIES
« Last post by resh on September 07, 2020, 11:22:36 AM »
Choice Broking Analyst Rajnath Yadav has a SUBSCRIBE rating with the following note,
At the higher price band of Rs. 166 per share, HMTL's share is valued at a P/E multiple of 29.4x (to its restated FY20 EPS of Rs. 5.6), which is at premium to peer average of 25.9x.

Sushil Finance Analyst Krishna Rana said,
In last three Fiscals Company grew at ~ 23% CAGR, ROCE of around 29%. The issue is priced slightly expensive at a P/BV of 6.38 and asking price is  at P/E of around 36x against the average industry P/E of 27. Happiest Minds has good business prospects as e-commerce and digital service providers are seen as growing sectors. The sector has shown growth even during the pandemic. Investors can apply for medium term horizon.
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IPOs and Rights Issues / HAPPIEST MINDS TECHNOLOGIES
« Last post by resh on September 07, 2020, 11:22:21 AM »
We present to you IPO / Public Issue Reviews & Ratings of HAPPIEST MINDS TECHNOLOGIES

ICICI Direct Analyst Devang Bhat without giving any rating said,
At the higher end of the price band of | 166, the stock is available at a PE of ~31x on FY20 diluted EPS.

HDFC Securities - No Rating

Axis Capital - No Rating

Rishi Jhunjhunwala at IIFL Capital said,
The price band is Rs165-166. Considering FY20 adjusted EPS of Rs6.2, the price band implies a P/E ratio of 26.6X, comparable to its larger mid-cap peers such as LTI, Mindtree and NIIT Tech. Based on management comments, the implied P/E multiple for Happiest Minds
is ~12X if we annualize 1QFY21 EPS.

Sneha Poddar of Motilal Oswal said,
At the higher end of the price band, the issue is valued at 29x FY20 P/E (fully diluted), which is comparable to larger mid-sized IT
companies. We like the company given its (1) strong presence in digital services, (2) scalable business model with end-to-end capabilities and (3) fast improving financial performance. Hence, investors can Subscribe to the IPO. Further considering market conditions and bright prospects for IT companies post Covid-era, one may also get listing gains.

SMC has a 3/5 Rating with the following note,
The company is a versatile digital business, product engineering and infra management solution provider company. Digital is growing much faster than traditional business of the company. As much as 97% of the company’s revenue comes from digital, where as the average contribution from digital stands at 40-50%. The company has adopted a mindful IT strategy for its future growth. On the flip
side, the company intends to raise Rs 702 crore from the issue, of which 592 crore is offer for sale.

DealMoney Research said,
In FY20, the company had delivered 87.9% of its projects through agile delivery methodology. Over the years and currently during the ongoing outbreak of Novel Coronavirus, it has successfully implemented its business continuity plans including to achieve efficient work-from-home practices to ensure connectivity across the enterprise. Based on FY20 consolidated numbers, the issue is priced at a P/E of 31x. at diluted EPS of FY20 Which is priced fairly therefore we recommend SUBSCRIBE over the issue for a long term perspective.
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Comparing Online Grocers JioMart Vs Flipkart Supermart and DMart Ready

JioMart is currently delivering fresh and grocery within two days of ordering and wants to take this to T+1 soon: The plan is to eventually move this to one-hour delivery with kiranas doing the final fulfillment while JioMart will help them with inventory, technology solutions and customer orders.



The omni-channel retail capability powered by JioMart along with Reliance Retail's widespread physical presence (with two-thirds of its 12,000 stores in Tier 2-4 towns) will be a key near-term growth area, and could have a significant bearing on India's eCommerce sales. JioMart will also leverage WhatsApp to create a seamless transactional experience for customers.
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I would like to show the comon of various online grocery retailers in India namely, Big Basket Grofers, Amazon India, JioMart, Flipkart - Supermart and  Dmart Ready

Various Parameters for comparing are Cities Covered, Delivery Format, SKUs, Private Labels, etc and this is how they look like as shown below.

Big Basket Vs Grofers Vs Amazon Pantry / Fresh
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We believe that Future supply chain’s assets will prove useful for Jiomart + Reliance's offline business.

Jiomart intends to supply grocery online as well as act as a distributor to retail shops. We believe this would require an integrated supply chain network to connect RIL Market and warehouses with local kiranas, and kiranas and local RR outlets with customers. Assets of Future Supply Chain and Future Retail's Easyday network (990 Easyday, Heritage Fresh and Nilgiris stores) can help Jiomart's distribution and hyperlocal retail ambitions. These stores are neighborhood grocery stores, which would sell a select number of SKUs to a set of 800-1,000 member households. It also carried out local deliveries to these neighborhood households and had enabled Whatsapp based ordering for some locations. We believe these stores can be converted into Reliance branded outlets and be utilized to carry out Jiomart’s hyperlocal operations. Further, RR can also get data of these local neighborhoods and can easily onboard them as Jiomart's customers.

Future Supply Chain has capabilities of warehousing, operating DCs, express logistics, temperature-controlled logistics, last mile delivery. Further, in FY2019, FSC launched India Food Grid (IFG), a network of 38 Integrated Food and FMCG distribution centres (IFDCs) across the country that provide pan-India reach. The IFG can manage distribution right from the manufacturing hubs up till the final point of consumption.
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Indian Economy, Macro, RBI Policies / Real Indian GDP Shrinking
« Last post by resh on August 13, 2020, 08:31:15 AM »
According to Motilal Oswal Research, Economic Activity Index (EAI) for India's real GVA (called EAI-GVA) contracted 7.0% YoY in Jun-20 – its fourth successive decline – which implies that economic activity shrank 18.7% YoY in 1QFY21. Industrial activities contracted sharply by a fifth (compared to 33% fall in May-20), while the services sector shrank only 3.6% YoY (supported by massive fiscal spending) in Jun’20. Farm activities grew 10.4% YoY – the highest pace in nine year

Overall, they suggest  that real Indian GDP may have contracted 18-20% YoY in 1QFY21, in line with their estimate. An important point to ponder over now is whether economic activity will pick up from Aug-Sep-20 and continue to grow post the festive season. As the COVID-19 pandemic is still not contained in India and partial lockdowns have been re-introduced, continuation of stronger GDP growth is still not a given.
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MidCap Stock Picks / Morgan - RBL Bank Target
« Last post by resh on August 03, 2020, 01:05:48 PM »
Here is Morgan Stanley's take on RBL Bank Ltd,

The improvement in moratorium was led by wholesale banking, where moratorium level improved from 22% to 5% of loans. Non-wholesale banking moratorium improved to 30% vs. 45%.

Valuation is inexpensive, but lack of visibility on asset quality and muted RoE estimates keep us UW: This is driven by high exposure to BBB and below-rated corporates and unsecured retail loan segments. We reduce bear case weight and raise price target, but remain UW given uncertain asset quality. Price Target is Rs 150.

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Real Estate / SEZ in India / List PropTech Startups India
« Last post by komal on July 25, 2020, 07:54:43 PM »
PropTech is powered by new-age technologies and data sources that can eliminate prevailing challenges of data asymmetry through real-time inputs, advanced analytics, and simpler user interfaces for transactions, financing, and documentation.

Here is a List of Hottest Property Tech Startups in India

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Indian Retail Forum and Discussion / Jio Intensfies Digital Initiative for Others
« Last post by komal on July 22, 2020, 01:29:54 PM »
Under fear from Jio's Power of becoming a Retail Powerhouse by introducing Private Labels to compete MNCs like Hindustan Unilever, the latter have woken up to take care of their retailers / kiranas.

E-commerce and neighborhood stores are doing relatively better vs modern trade. Modern trade has been impacted due to temporary closure of stores across parts of the country. Company has also been promoting its own online platform such as Shikhar app (B2B online ordering app) which is now available in 150,000 stores across the country.

Retailer's Own Brand is known as Private Label - Reference http://www.retailmantra.com/which-quantitative-factors-matter-for-success-in-indian-retail/
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