Magma Fincorp – Insight

Magma Fincorp (Magma) is one of the larger non-banking finance companies in India (Rs94bn AUM). It has a diverse funding suite of CVs, cars, construction equipments, SME and tractor loans. It has recently entered into a JV with HDI Gerling of Germany for setting up a non-life insurance subsidiary in India. While Magma is a relatively diversified business, comparable listed peers would be SREI, Shriram Transport, Sundaram Finance.

Business Operations – Balance sheet loans formed only 30% of total (more…)

Infosys Technologies – Hope of Revenue Guidance

Infosys Technologies has put a dismal performance for the FY 2009-2010.  Pricing declined ~70 bps (constant currency). EBITDA margin declined ~150bps (our exp: ~90bps decline). Reported net profit was Rs16b, in line. However, excluding gains on sale of investment (Rs.480m), it was lower than expectations.

The company expects Overall, US$ revenue growth guidance builds in 3-4% QoQ growth for its guidance  of 16-18% YoY revenue growth.  EPS (more…)

Low Risk, High Return India Strategy

Morgan Stanley has charted a Low Risk, High Return Strategy for the Indian Equities which are likely to return positively in 2010. However, the rate of return is likely to slow over the 2009 levels. In that context, stock picking is likely to be the key to portfolio returns.

The influence of macro in determining the behavior of stocks best measured by the correlation of returns from individual stocks (market effect) with the market has been declining since its peak in May 2009. (more…)

India Earnings Expectations – Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs expects strong earnings momentum to continue in the fourth quarter. Estimates indicate sales growth to increase to 34% in 4Q FY10E from 22% in 3Q. Operating leverage and cost savings should lead to a strong operating performance with
EBIT growing by 58% in the current quarter, vs. 26% in 3Q. As a consequence of the robust top line growth and improving margins, we expect net income to rise by 44% yoy in 4Q vs. 20% yoy growth in 3Q (more…)

JP Morgan’s Pick in Real Estate

Property prices, especially in the residential segment, are fast approaching peak levels, and in some markets such as Mumbai, they are already above previous highs. Correspondingly, FY10 has been the best year both in terms of pricing and volumes for a number of developers across markets. However, stock prices have not reflected this, with the BSE Realty Index still at Oct-08 (Lehman) levels and 60% below the peak, vs Nifty at 15% off its high. (more…)