Investment Advise and Update – Amtek Auto and Bharat Forge

In early August DalalStreet.Biz had put a BUY recommendation on Amtek Auto Limited when the price was around Rs290. We still maintain the same BUY rating on the stock at around Rs320 and continue to be bullish about the prospects of the company in long term.

DalalStreet.Biz analysts are also bullish on the long term prospects of Bharat Forge Company Limited. Bharat Forge is setting up a large manufacturing facility in SEZ. It has been aggressively expanding in export markets. BUY 25% of your capacity around Rs350 and we will inform you of further developments.

We are also studying the prospects of HT Media and we will keep you posted as soon as our research on the stock is done.

Thanks and Happy Investing.

India Inc Q2 – Logistics, Retail, IT and Telecom likely winners

Logistics, Retail, Telecom and IT are likely to be the star performers in India Inc for Q2. In a research report published by ILFS,[PDF] Logistics is expected to report a rise in YoY sales of 232% followed by Retail expected to report 70.2% rise in YoY sales. IT is expected to report growth of 39% and Telecom 36%.

ILFS favorite picks sectorwise are as follows.
Logistics:
Gateway Distriparks and Allcargo Global

Retail:
Pantaloon Retail (India) Limited and Shoppers Stop.

IT:
Infosys Technologies Limited, TCS, Wipro (My favorites are Satyam and HCL Technologies)

Check out the entire report here.[PDF]

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Hanung Toys, Accel FrontLine, DCB, Global Vectra – IPO Subscription Details

Find details of the IPO subscriptions for the following companies that closed on Oct-06-2006. According to SEBI, a Retail Individual Investor is one who applies for less than Rs100,000 worth of shares. However, for applying for over Rs50,000 you need to quote your Income Tax PAN Number.

Hanung Toys and Textiles limited IPO Subscription Details
Total Issue Size 9500000
Total Bids Received 41030100
Total Bids Received at Cut-off Price 9055380
No. of times issue is subscribed 4.32
Retail Individual Investors (RIIs) 4.7982

Accel FrontLine limited IPO Subscription Details
Total Issue Size 5635950
Total Bids Received 13759970
Total Bids Received at Cut-off Price 7804370
No. of times issue is subscribed 2.44
Retail Individual Investors (RIIs) 4.2150

DCB IPO – Development Credit bank of india IPO Subscription Details
Total Issue Size 71500000
Total Bids Received 2551212500
Total Bids Received at Cut-off Price 355016750
No. of times issue is subscribed 35.68 times
Retail Individual Investors (RIIs) 15.3059 times

Global Vectra IPO Subscription Details
Total Issue Size 3500000
Total Bids Received 12575130
Total Bids Received at Cut-off Price 1201920
No. of times issue is subscribed 3.59
Retail Individual Investors (RIIs) 1.1073 times

Disclosure: I have not applied for any of these issues.

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Indian IT Q2 Expectations.

The Indian IT industry is expected to announce a rock solid quarter for Q2. Infosys results are expected on 11-OCT-2006. IT companies are expected to grow 8.8% QoQ and analysts at JP Morgan have set some high expectations from Infosys, 11% QoQ.

CLSA has outperform on Infosys and Wipro and underperform on the rest(Satyam, TCS, HCL Technologies). Read CLSA report here. [PDF] I personally believe Satyam and HCL-Technologies are undervalued compared to their peers. Both the companies should decisively cross $1 Billion in sales this financial year, critical figure required to bid for large IT contracts. Satyam and HCL-Tech hopefully will get re-rated very soon. Accumulate on every decline.

Disclosure: I am a small investor and hold both Satyam and HCL-Technologies.

NFO – DSP Merrill Lynch Small and MidCap Fund

New Fund Offering: DSP Merrill Lynch, Small and MidCap Fund.

Investment Pattern: 65% to 100% of the portfolio will be concentrated in equity and equity related instruments that are not part of the top 100 stocks by way of market capitalization. That does not mean that the fund will not invest in the top 100 stocks. But not more than 35 per cent of the total portfolio value.

Fund Manager: Soumendra Nath Lahiri

Min Amount: Rs5,000. SIPs accepted after initial offer

Issue closes on 16-OCT-2006.

DalalStreet.Biz Recommendation: Avoid subscribing in NFO as the markets currently at 12,500 look somewhat over valued to enter.