BUY Container Corporation – Kotak Securities

Kotak Sec research group has put a BUY on Container Corporation of India Limited [CONCOR] with a price target of Rs 3,000. Potential upside of 35% from current levels.

Container traffic expected to touch 20 mn TEUs by 2015:
In FY07, Indian ports handled 5.4 mn TEUs as against 4.6 mn TEUs in FY06, thereby recording strong YoY growth of 17.1%.

Headroom for raising traffic till rail freight corridor becomes operational:
Currently, Concor runs approximately 16 to 17 trains in a day. On an average, it runs two trains to Mundra port, one to Pipavav and the remaining between JNPT and Delhi ICD. It is expected to go up to 22 and ultimately to a maximum of 25 trains per day on the current network of Indian railways.

Foray into end-to-end logistics services:
Concor has successfully forayed into offering end-to-end logistics solutions to its customers for domestic cargo. The company has tied up with various service providers like road transporters and coastal shipping companies to offer the entire gamut of logistics services.

Cold chain project:
Concor has already commenced commercial operations of its cold chain project in a phased manner. The entire cold chain project is being carried out under a wholly owned subsidiary named Fresh and Healthy Enterprises Ltd, incorporated in February 2006.

Auto carrier project:
Concor is moving ahead with its auto transportation project. The company has developed a special design of wagons to carry cars across the country on the Indian Railway network, primarily to bring down the cost incurred on transportation.

Financials of Container Corporation of India Limited:
Kotak maintains earnings estimates for FY08 and expect Concor to report net sales of Rs.38.3 bn, EBIDTA margin of 30.3% and PAT of Rs.8.2 bn, thereby translating into an EPS of Rs.126.7 and CEPS of Rs.144.3.

In FY09, Kotak expects Concor to report net sales of Rs.45.3 bn, that is, sales growth of 18.3%, EBIDTA margins of 30.0% and PAT of Rs.9.7 bn, that is, YoY growth of 17.9%, thereby translating into an EPS of Rs.149.3 and CEPS of Rs.169.9.