Smart investors who are holding to the stock can Book-Profits as the stock is likely to underperform in the near term. The stock now trades at a 27% premium to the hotel sector, post a 43% 3-month move, outperforming the hotel sector (10%) and market (13%).
EIH’s core revenues –growing strongly– are concentrated in Delhi, Mumbai, Bangalore (c82% of room revenues). However, it still lacks presence in upcoming growth markets like Chennai, Pune, Hyderabad, which could risk longer-term growth. The company has planned 6 new hotels in India, Hotels planned in Dubai, Maldives and Cambodia, Luxury train – JV with Indian Railways and Govt. of Rajasthan, and Luxury Nile Cruiser in Egypt.The company owns several real estate assets in Pune, Kolkata, Agra and Bhubneshwar, which it could potentially sell to fund its capex plans.
Fully Diluted EPS is expected to be Rs 6.48, Rs 7.71 and Rs 7.44 for FY08, 09 and 10 respectively. Citi has set a Target Price of Rs 146 on the stock and recommends to book profits.