Industrial Weakness – 5 Years of Stalled Projects by Congress Politicians

Breaking News - ExclusiveThe Indian Industry went into a prolonged phase of Policy & Project Paralysis as the Congress Government got itself into defensive mood to defend itself against the massive Scams [2G Spectrum Scam, Common Wealth Games, Coal Scam, etc] with absolutely ZERO attentiosn towards Governance and Progressive Reforms. Industrial CAPEX Data released by CMIE March 2014 shows that investment for the quarter was lackluster, with average four quarterly new starts at Rs967bn (-10% qoq / -14% yoy). This capex slowdown is in line with the weakness seen over the past 12 quarters and as we expected given the upcoming national elections. We expect activity to be slow in the quarter ending June 2014 as well and improve only gradually. Government capex fell sequentially (-11%) after increasing over the last two quarters. Private capex showed no signs of revival. The decline was driven off continuing weak activity, particularly in the transport and mining segments.

Stalled projects as a percentage of total outstanding remained at elevated levels of ~5%. Given our expectations of a (more…)

Bajaj Finance Vs IDFC Vs LIC Housing Finance – New Banking License

New Banking License AspirantsThe RBI is likely to issue new bank licence soon. The key question before investors is whether or not to buy the new bank licensees over the existing and well established franchises such as HDFC Bank & Axis Bank. Our fundamental & quantitative analysis shows that significant value could accrue to investors from new bank licensees with a well-executed strategy.

Empirical evidence shows that new bank licensees have potential to deliver high returns during (more…)

L G Balakrishnan & Bros – Review and Recommendation

L G Balakrishnan & Bros (LGBL), the flagship company of ELGI Group, is a leading supplier of transmission chains to the automobile industry under the brand, Rolon. Transmission chains are also known as automotive chains. LGBL has a around 70% market share in the OEM chain segment and around 50% market share in the replacement segment. The technology is the entry barrier in this business as chains are precision components. As vehicles become sleeker and powerful, the chain quality has to improve.

The transmission segment mainly caters to OEMs and replacement (more…)

How Economists in Congress Regime – Chidambaram & Anand Sharma Destroyed Indian Economy ?

Breaking News - ExclusiveWe’d like to highlight how the so called Economic Think Tanks in the Congress Government destroyed the Indian Economy even though they were wearing the mask of Mr. Right & Bright but in reality the Graphs of Economy presented below give a “Failure” Grade to Mr P. Chidambram (Finance Minister) who inherited a bad economy and Mr. Anand Sharma (Commerce Minister) vocally defending his Scamster colleagues. The Corrupt Congress regime is to be blamed for all the Adversaries in the Indian Economy as presented by facts and Graphs from our Research Database.

Pathetic Quarterly GDP Growth of mere 4% in the Last 12 months due to Impotent Governance by (more…)

Why Morgan & Deutsche bet on Indian Private Banks to Play Recovery ?

Indian Private Banking StocksWith the underlying Economic indicators showing signs of recovery, a comprehensive analysis of Indian banks’ profitability matrices, suggests that asset quality stress tests and near-term strategies, present three key takeaways: 1) Private banks are well positioned, with the capital and liabilities to benefit from an economic recovery. 2) Lack of capital is a challenge for PSU banks, whose urgent need for equity dilution may keep valuations subdued even as the economy improves. 3) Capital inefficiencies may keep valuations down for PSU banks, whereas valuations could expand for private banks due to better capitalisation.

PSU banks have lost their core (more…)

Jagdish Bhagwati & Arvind Panagariya – Write Economic Policies of Narendra Modi

Two star economists with a free market bent – Jagdish Bhagwati and Arvind Panagariya – appear to be the intellectual godfathers of Progressive BJP led NDA’s forthcoming election manifesto. These gents have published a book in 2013 – India’s Tryst with Destiny – in which they have criticized the UPA’s redistributive policies (Food Security Act, NREGA, etc), declared their fondness for the “Gujarat model” and advocated an economic renewal program centred on cutting universal subsidies, reviving spend on infrastructure, reforming India’s antiquated labour laws and reforming the country’s higher education system.

Both professors have steadfastly supported Narendra Modi in the domestic and international press. Whilst they deny having any official role (more…)