Category: Economy, Markets and Macro Views

With the change in Guard at North Block earlier this month, Analysts from DalalStreet met a range of people across Ministries, the Planning Commission, the Council of Economic Advisors to the Prime Minister, policy analysts and seasoned political journalists seeking views of the Indian Economy and Business. Everybody acknowledged there is urgency of the situation, and in particular the fear of a credit rating downgrade is a strong
compulsion to act.

The overall tone was cautious, perhaps best summarized by a remark from one senior adviser that “there is now a clear intent on the part of government. But will it lead to outcomes?” One of the Joint-Secretary said “issue, what issue”, plugging the line “the world makes India look good…foreign institutions have invested $10.5bn already this year”.

Key Takeaways from the meeting, (more…)

PM Dr. Singh has said that he will continue as the Finance Minister beyond the Monsoon Session of the parliament and has entrusted the job of answering questions to MoS. Dr Singh’s first term as Finance Minister in 1991-96 resulted in liberalization and far-reaching changes. Pranab Mukherjee demited from the office with a Historically Weak Indian Rupee, High Inflation, Weak GDP Growth, Amending Laws With Retrospective effect, etc Let us check the health of Indian Economy and take a prudent view on to what extent Dr. Singh can turnaround the Indian Economy, which has to happen now or will never happen.

India’s 4QFY12 GDP came in at 5.3% YoY – the lowest (more…)

You may heave heard in the news, read here about empty promises coming from the office of octogenarian Finance Minister Mr. Mukherjee curtailing Inflation. Rubbing salt on the woulds of Common Man’s concern on inflation is yet another rubber stamp kind of an authority, Dr Subbarrao, Governor of RBI. Both of them have neither been able to handle the inflation, rupee, GDP growth, etc nor frame any far reaching policy measures. Data suggests that in the last 12 months the average WPI / Inflation has been at a whopping 8.3%. Latest number for May-12 being 7.5% [YoY Growth]

Indian Inflation in the past 12 Months is Higher than the GDP Growth(recorded at 5.3% latest quarter on yearly basis). (more…)

Today we all Indians woke up to the Petrol Shock, highest since 1947 – A steep 10% Hike in petrol price. Most of you must be wondering when the Crude Oil Prices are relatively stable why do we have to pay an extra 10% for Petrol ? The answer is simple, the Bad Governance and Policies of Congress led UPA Government and we do not hesitate to directly hold Dr Manmohan Singh and Finance Minister Mr Pranab Mukherjee for this Shock. (more…)

After Deepak Parekh’s return from Singapore, many Indian brokerage houses sent their Equity Chiefs to Global Financial Centers – London, New York, etc to engage their Foreign Clients. Here is the outcome of the meeting of Equity Strategists on Indian Markets.

FIIs are still very interested in the India Growth Story, but are fed with the Policy Paralysis. Moreover, they can’t understand how the Indian petty political system can deliver (more…)

HDFC Group Super Chairman, Mr. Deepak Parkeh last week met Large / Mega Foreign Investors at Singapore and in an interview with CNBC TV-18 discusses the state of Indian Economy. Here are the most important points Mr. Parkeh touched upon.

Inflation / Subsidies:Inflation is not under control and RBI kind of swallowed a bitter Pill on cutting the repo / reverse repo rate by 50 bps. Food Inflation is still very High. Fuel [Petrol, Diesel, LPG] and Fertilizer subsidies has gone through the roof. A Marginal increase in Rail fare was rolled back. India’s Subsidy bill is going to increase, increase and increase. Who will fund the Gap ?

Deposits / Loans:Deposit Growth has been lowest in the last few years. (more…)